S&P Cuts Alt-A Mortgage Bonds; Analysts Warn on Prime
Should already be priced in – been talked about for a long time.
Standard & Poor’s reduced its ratings on about $7 billion of Alt-A mortgage securities, citing a sustained surge in delinquencies during the past five months on loans considered a step above subprime.
Since July, late payments on Alt-A loans in bonds issued in 2005 have increased 37.3 percent to 8.62 percent, while delinquencies for such mortgages in 2006 securities rose 62.1 percent to 11.64 percent, S&P said.
Not catastrophic yet.
And this is all aging, static pool analysis now that new loans aren’t being made.
The article also has some analyst comments on prime loans:
Prime “jumbo” mortgages from recent years packaged into securities also have rising delinquencies that may create losses among some bonds with investment-grade ratings, according to reports yesterday by New York-based securities analysts at Credit Suisse Group and UBS AG. …
Yes, but those delinquencies are still reasonably low.
This can all deteriorate if aggregate demand falls, the economy weakens, and income and employment falls. But delinquencies don’t cause falling aggregate demand, though they may be a symptom of it and certainly are signs of possible Main Street weakness.
“It’s not just a subprime problem,” Joshua Rosner, managing director at New York-based research firm Graham Fisher & Co., said …