Off a touch but this follows a very strong post-COVID spike: Many of the surveys have been weaker than the actual numbers, perhaps biased by

Mortgage apps to purchase a house have been falling for a while, but have now increased for the last three weeks. Too early to call

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Definitely not collapsing, so no recession here: The surveys look worse than the data, probably due to belief that rate hikes are slowing things down:

Covid dip, recovery, now correcting back and maybe leveling off around pre-Covid levels? Still a bit above pre-Covid levels: All time highs and growing: Employment

This is adjusted for inflation and will likely increase already high Q4 GDP forecasts. At least so far, the rate hikes seem to be supporting

Not good but so far holding against the recent lows: This has the potential to accelerate the recent rise in oil prices and take us

The budget deficit had been falling rapidly last fiscal year, but reversed and is now at about 5% of GDP and climbing, due to the

No recession here: US Small Business Optimism DeterioratesThe NFIB Small Business Optimism Index in the United States fell to a three-month low of 91.3 in

The narrative of rate hikes supporting growth/employment/income remains solid: Yes, housing hit a soft spot with the rate hikes, but personal income is growing rapidly