Yesterday’s news, but this kind of response is indicative of fear of a very large problem in the immediate future.
And forcing banks to lend to entities they don’t consider credit worthy only shifts private sector losses to the banks.
> On Tue, Nov 4, 2008 at 7:38 AM, Dave wrote:
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
The French state has threatened to seize control of the country’s banks and fire top staff unless they do their part to stabilise the economy by stepping up lending to companies in need.
“The banks have got to open up credit to business: they have the means to do it,” said prime minister Francois Fillon, accusing lenders of hoarding cash. “We don’t think the banks are stepping up to task as necessary. We can withdraw the credit that we have extended to them under the state’s contract with the banks, and that will put them in difficulty. At that moment the question arises whether we should take an equity stake, change their managers, and assume control over their strategy.”
Speaking on French television, he warned: “Broadly speaking, we’ll be able to judge over the next 10 days whether they are playing the game as they should, or not.”
Under last month’s rescue deal, banks agreed to raise lending to firms and households by 3pc to 4pc in exchange for a state injection of ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬10bn (Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£8bn) in fresh capital for the six largest banks, a modest sum compared to the bail-outs in Britain, Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands.
In Germany, HSH Nordbank ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â‚¬Å“ 59pc owned by the city of Hamburg and state of Schleswig-Holstein ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â‚¬Å“ rattled the markets yesterday by revealing that it would need ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬30bn in guarantees from Berlin’s ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬500bn stabilisation fund. It warned that further sums may be need`ed to meet capital adequacy ratios in the future.
“We are not under time pressure and will be holding in-depth discussions with our stockholders as to the strategy to pursue,” said Hans Berger, chief executive officer. The bank has had to write down ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬2.3bn over the last year, and suffered heavy losses from the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
Commerzbank said it would seek a combined guarantee and capital boost of ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬23bn, while BayernLB will seek ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬5.4bn. The giant property lender Hypo Real Estate is the biggest casualty so far, needing ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â‚¬Å¡Ã‚Â¬50bn.
In Austria, a mini-crisis continued to simmer yesterday as the state stepped in “with a few hundred million” to rescue Kommunalkredit, after the public lender said it was suffering a “liqudity squeeze”. Austria’s banks have heavy exposure to the debt crisis in Ukraine, Hungary and the Balkans.
Europe’s banks are almost twice as leveraged as those in the US, according to the IMF. Many pursued a very aggressive lending strategy during the credit bubble. They account for the lion’s share of cross-border loans to Latin America, Asia and the entire $1.6 trillion pool of loans to Eastern Europe. Matt King, credit strategist at Citigroup, says they have waited too long to face up to their losses and will need to raise $400bn in fresh capital in a hostile global climate.