This has been much the same for new members that previously had higher budget deficits.
It firms the Euro and keeps unemployment higher than otherwise.
[Before the euro, tight fiscal was ‘offset’ by the national CBs bought $ (I call that ‘off balance sheet deficit spending’) which supported employment and net export growth. While exports are a real cost, and this process thereby came at a real cost to the domestic standards of living, it did make the numbers (GDP, employment) look good.]
(Thomson Financial) Poland is likely to lower the public sector deficit in its new convergence programme for joining the euro, targetting a cut in its deficit to 1 pct of gross domestic product by 2011, a deputy finance minister said today.
He also said the government would aim to cut the 2009 deficit by several billion zlotys from the 27.1 bln zlotys planned for this year.
“From the convergence programme which should be approved by the government and sent to Brussels, it is possible that in 2008 the general government deficit will be 2.6-2.7 pct (of GDP), and in 2009 2-2.5 pct,” Stanislaw Gomulka, one of Poland’s four deputy finance ministers, said today. “In 2010 it may be around 1.5 pct and in 2011, 1 pct. I think the discussion will concern these levels,” Gomulka told reporters on the sidelines of a conference in Warsaw.
Asked by Thomson Financial News about next year’s deficit, he said: “The government may assume in its work on the 2009 budget, a deficit of several billion zlotys lower than the 27.1 bln zlotys planned for 2008.” The government normally lodges its initial budget assumptions in the middle of year after several months of consultations with other ministries.