Commercial real estate index, consumer sentiment
Solid: Seems like government deficit spending, featuring large increases from the Fed rate hikes is plenty high to support growth:
Solid: Seems like government deficit spending, featuring large increases from the Fed rate hikes is plenty high to support growth:
The media is trying to sensationalize this. The longer term charts show these numbers remain very low historically and are not yet indicating recession: No
The service sector is about 85% of the economy and growth is rock solid: Manufacturing growth prospects look solid as well: Meanwhile, the Fed and
Even more evidence that the rate hikes are supporting aggregate demand/employment/GDP/prices etc. The Fed Chairman has it backwards, and his research staff knows it. And
Off a touch but this follows a very strong post-COVID spike: Many of the surveys have been weaker than the actual numbers, perhaps biased by
Mortgage apps to purchase a house have been falling for a while, but have now increased for the last three weeks. Too early to call
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Definitely not collapsing, so no recession here: The surveys look worse than the data, probably due to belief that rate hikes are slowing things down:
Covid dip, recovery, now correcting back and maybe leveling off around pre-Covid levels? Still a bit above pre-Covid levels: All time highs and growing: Employment
This is adjusted for inflation and will likely increase already high Q4 GDP forecasts. At least so far, the rate hikes seem to be supporting