Consumer sentiment, real retail sales, industrial production, wages
A bit of an uptick but still trending lower: Sales going sideways on an inflation adjusted basis: This sector seems to be doing ok: Not
A bit of an uptick but still trending lower: Sales going sideways on an inflation adjusted basis: This sector seems to be doing ok: Not
This component is going nowhere: Still trying to catch up from the oil capex collapse of 2016 and covid collapse: Not good: This is an
This could easily drive oil up past $200/barrel and trigger a serious recession. This survey/forecast is higher than precovid. The full employment report comes out
Recovered to trend but only because this chart isn’t adjusted for inflation: Nor does the narrative that consumers have gone crazy buying goods seem to
Gone flat post covid, adjusted for inflation: The post covid slump continues, and now there are war disruptions: US Consumer Sentiment Lowest since 2011 The
Slowly returning to the pre covid trend: Still below the pre covid trend line:
Low and slipping: GDP tracking at 0:
Post war slowdown continues: Below the 2018 highs, but still growing from the covid dip: Adjusted for inflation, the slope is downward:
Post was slump continues: Mortgage applications and housing in general remains far weaker than it was when rates were far higher and the population was
Still slowly working its way back to the pre covid trend: New rigs continue to come online, but it won’t interfere with Saudi/Russian price setting