Headline CPI dropped 1.7% M/M in November after 1.0% decline last month (Y/Y now at +1.1%)
Core was flat in November after 0.1% decline (Y/Y at 2.0% and 3 month annualized at 0.4%… core is decelerating quickly and inflation certainly not a concern for Fed at this point)
OER was up 0.3% M/M, but partly due to a decline in utility prices that increases economic rents
Keeps falling as the headlines have the public and financial institutions scared stiff.
Karim writes:
Housing Starts dropped to 625k in November (record low with about 50 years of data!) from 771k last month and 1,179k last year (this should put more downward pressure on residential investment in GDP through early 2009)
Permits dropped to 616k in November (record low with about 50 years of data!) from 730k last month and 1,111k last year
Token “Sliver” lining- less pressure on inventories from new homes