Seems to me this divergence has been stretched to the limit:
And this chart from Daniele Della Bona shows how dipping into savings via borrowing adds to interest expense that further reduces savings when other personal income is lagging:
And this shows the gap:
And from a different angle:
And this was also part of the consumer’s year end credit card binge that contributed to GDP? And would that be consumption or investment? 😉
The Wards Intelligence January forecast calls for 1.16 million LVs to be delivered over 25 selling days, resulting in a 46,430-unit daily sales rate compared with 47,442 in prior-year (24 days). The DSR is down 2.1% from like-2017.
The resulting seasonally adjusted annual rate is 17.24 million units, below the 17.75 million in the previous month and 17.34 million year-ago.