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Optimism index, Consumer sentiment, port congestion, lumber, iron ore, coal, steel, soybeans

Apparently ports are clearing: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/01/commerce-secretary-gina-raimondo-sees-clear-improvements-happening-at-congested-us-ports.html Several commodities seem to have peaked and then fallen back. Inflation is a continuous increase in the price level, so

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November 2, 2021

China, Brazil manufacturing, US Construction Spending, coal

Seems a global thing: No recovery here: Another price reversal: GC Newcastle coal futures tumbled by over 30% to $150 per metric ton, the lowest

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November 1, 2021

GDP, Unemployment claims, China coal

Deficit spending as a % of GDP heading south fast: US GDP Growth Disappoints The American economy expanded an annualized 2% on quarter in Q3

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October 28, 2021

Trade, durable goods orders, iron ore

More reason for a fiscal adjustment that’s not happening: These are new orders so the slowing isn’t about supply issues: Lots of commodity charts looking

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October 27, 2021

Chicago Fed, gasoline consumption, miles driven, new home sales

This seems to be holding up, though not yet back to pre covid levels: Up a bit from last month, but still looking weak:

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October 26, 2021

Q3 GDP forecast, federal benefits, existing home sales

Not good. GDP heading toward recession: Now down vs same month last year:

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October 21, 2021

Industrial production, home builders index, housing starts, real estate loans

Weak again: A bit of improvement but still looking weak: No growth here: No sign that low rates have caused excess lending:

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October 20, 2021

Consumer sentiment, oil prices, federal debt/GPD

Not looking good: Russians and Saudis now cooperating to set crude oil prices. Not good: Post covid fiscal contraction is underway and debt/gdp is forecast

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October 15, 2021

Unemployment claims, employment, shipping costs, oil prices

Down a bit since Federal benefits expired. This materially cuts gov. spending: A lot worse than expected. They thought the end of Federal benefits would

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October 8, 2021

Unemployment claims, personal income and consumption, total vehicle sales

Who would have thought? This is through August which included Federal unemployment benefits that have subsequently expired. Income is now weaker than it was at

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October 1, 2021
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